by Bruce Western, Meredith Kleykamp in Princeton University: Political relationships often vary over time but standard models ignore temporal variation in regression relationships. We describe a Bayesian model that treats the change-point in a time
We discuss some problems encountered in inference of directionality of coupling, or, in the case of two interacting systems, in inference of causality from bivariate time series. We identify factors and in°uences which can lead to either decreased t
